0x18da81f9011cb5e10120fb98a636cdd26450a03a
0x18da81f9011cb5e10120fb98a636cdd26450a03a
- Realised P&L
- $44.68
- Volume
- $100.85
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $20.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar44.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $9.99 | −$0.01 |
| Spread: Argentina (-4.5) · Benin | 0.537 | 0.495 | $9.21 | −$0.79 |
| Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 1 Sevilla FC? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $1.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.68at 0.196Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:43 | Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 1 Sevilla FC? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 22:41 | Spread: Argentina (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5373134112 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 22:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999084 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |