USER737
0x18ccaf915c312fd7cba600493026755e29ecbdd4
- Realised P&L
- $156.32
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $27.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana vs. Nebraska: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.550 | $11.00 | +$0.60 |
| South Carolina vs. Florida: O/U 59.5 · Under | 0.482 | 0.525 | $10.89 | +$0.89 |
| Iowa vs. Washington · Washington | 0.600 | 0.575 | $5.17 | −$0.23 |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.30 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Rams vs. Bears · Bears | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$413.73 |
| Texans vs. Patriots · Texans | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.15 |
| Florida vs. Missouri · Florida | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Rockets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
| Spread: Indiana (-24.5) · Rutgers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs · Mavericks | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.67at 0.240Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$158.24at 0.260US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$64.79at 0.090Miami vs. Indiana
- +$55.59at 0.477Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$47.57at 0.258Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 17:38 | South Carolina vs. Florida: O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.4820841617 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 17:38 | Indiana vs. Nebraska: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-04 00:12 | Spread: Indiana (-24.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 22:14 | Florida vs. Missouri: O/U 57.5 | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-03 19:47 | Florida vs. Missouri: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 02:54 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 01:15 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 00:29 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 02:52 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | SELL | 0.2 | $43.48 |
| 06-26 02:32 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 06-20 04:39 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.15 | $27.78 |
| 06-20 03:12 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 06-13 00:28 | Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | BUY | 0.1199999922 | $13.00 |
| 06-13 00:26 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 05-10 04:30 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |