PolyBot

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Traders

USER737

0x18ccaf915c312fd7cba600493026755e29ecbdd4

Realised P&L
$156.32
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$27.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Indiana vs. Nebraska: O/U 49.5 · Under0.5200.550$11.00+$0.60
South Carolina vs. Florida: O/U 59.5 · Under0.4820.525$10.89+$0.89
Iowa vs. Washington · Washington0.6000.575$5.17−$0.23
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$51.30
Fight to Go the Distance? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Rams vs. Bears · Bears0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$413.73
Texans vs. Patriots · Texans0.0550.000$0.00−$26.15
Florida vs. Missouri · Florida0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
Rockets vs. Pistons · Pistons0.1280.000$0.00−$12.50
Spread: Indiana (-24.5) · Rutgers0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.0440.000$0.00−$30.00
Mavericks vs. Spurs · Mavericks0.0300.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 17:38South Carolina vs. Florida: O/U 59.5BUY0.4820841617$10.00
10-07 17:38Indiana vs. Nebraska: O/U 49.5BUY0.52$10.40
10-04 00:12Spread: Indiana (-24.5)BUY0.5$10.00
10-03 22:14Florida vs. Missouri: O/U 57.5SELL0.52$10.40
10-03 19:47Florida vs. Missouri: O/U 57.5BUY0.5$10.00
09-13 02:54Ohio State vs. TexasBUY0.4299998882$1.00
07-12 01:15Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-07 00:29Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.16$10.00
06-26 02:52Will United States win on 2026-06-25?SELL0.2$43.48
06-26 02:32Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
06-20 04:39Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?SELL0.15$27.78
06-20 03:12Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
06-13 00:28Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?BUY0.1199999922$13.00
06-13 00:26Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.4699999982$50.00
05-10 04:30Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.359999987$10.00