alwayscha
0x18ca6ab1aa41c765715d4fb3a149f505842922c9
- Realised P&L
- $-30.95
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $191.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana vs. Rutgers · Indiana | 0.940 | 0.935 | $4.67 | −$0.03 |
| UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims) · Jacobe Smith | 0.880 | 0.885 | $4.42 | +$0.03 |
| Miami (FL) vs. Clemson · Miami (FL) | 0.870 | 0.865 | $4.33 | −$0.03 |
| Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.860 | 0.865 | $4.33 | +$0.03 |
| UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Payton Talbott | 0.820 | 0.855 | $4.28 | +$0.17 |
| Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.840 | 0.850 | $4.25 | +$0.05 |
| Louisiana-Monroe vs. South Alabama · South Alabama | 0.840 | 0.845 | $4.22 | +$0.03 |
| UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims) · Damian Pinas | 0.820 | 0.825 | $4.13 | +$0.03 |
| Texas Tech vs. Colorado · Texas Tech | 0.820 | 0.815 | $4.08 | −$0.03 |
| UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) · Anthony Wint | 0.810 | 0.805 | $4.03 | −$0.03 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.580 | 0.785 | $3.92 | +$1.02 |
| Purdue vs. Illinois · Illinois | 0.770 | 0.775 | $3.88 | +$0.03 |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) · Colts | 0.750 | 0.765 | $3.83 | +$0.07 |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State · Texas State | 0.720 | 0.755 | $3.77 | +$0.17 |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) · Patriots | 0.740 | 0.735 | $3.67 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.95at 0.351Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-15?
- +$21.61at 0.392Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
- +$20.70at 0.402Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
- +$19.84at 0.412Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
- +$19.84at 0.412Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:23 | Texas Tech vs. Colorado | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-02 23:23 | Army vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-02 20:56 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-02 19:49 | Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-02 18:31 | Cincinnati vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-02 18:09 | Spread: North Dakota State (-16.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-02 18:02 | Spread: James Madison (-17.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-02 17:23 | Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-02 17:22 | Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-02 17:10 | Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-02 17:03 | Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 37.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-02 16:13 | Spread: South Florida (-5.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Fresno State vs. Washington State: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-02 14:39 | Indiana vs. Rutgers | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-02 14:38 | Spread: Virginia (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |