0x18C934A95D90266F5Dc5488254ecEfDE8711EA65-1721244106953
0x18c934a95d90266f5dc5488254ecefde8711ea65
- Realised P&L
- $77.15
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 556
- Open portfolio
- $200.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded556
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.74at 0.276Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$8.80at 0.120Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?
- +$8.16at 0.230Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
- +$7.78at 0.050Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$7.43at 0.025Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:11 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.8299999952 | $12.00 |
| 09-30 19:18 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:17 | Dolphins vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:59 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:58 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:58 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:57 | Cowboys vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:57 | Cardinals vs. Giants | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:56 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:23 | Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $8.00 |
| 09-29 17:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.10 |
| 09-29 08:53 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.1165727518 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:52 | Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-29 08:51 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6499999257 | $3.50 |
| 09-29 08:47 | Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.4749999514 | $4.15 |