dfdnuskaldy
0x18c7409efa672940d3c454e404779ea05a127e36
- Realised P&L
- $9.90
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $144.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.972 | $50.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No | 0.977 | 0.956 | $49.94 | −$1.10 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.987 | 0.984 | $44.02 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.76at 0.951Will the Republican Party win the WI-02 House seat?
- +$2.40at 0.976Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$1.22at 0.935US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
- +$0.92at 0.975Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
- +$0.41at 0.979Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 07:51 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.983 | $19.66 |