bestbetsonly
0x18c0c4a70850c243f068f2a4817ba0afae1f1ce7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $149.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $17.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? · No | 0.100 | 0.075 | $17.47 | −$5.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$474.48at 0.110Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 20?
- +$227.01at 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15?
- +$207.70at 0.030Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 21?
- +$146.44at 0.040Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$71.63at 0.220Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 16:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27? | SELL | 0.49 | $139.01 |
| 09-21 11:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 11:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.0059224792 | $5.92 |
| 04-12 18:50 | Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | SELL | 0.999 | $145.60 |
| 04-12 17:43 | Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | BUY | 0.98331427 | $143.25 |
| 04-08 17:44 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $68.97 |
| 04-08 17:42 | Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans | BUY | 0.89 | $264.43 |
| 04-08 12:25 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $124.57 |
| 04-05 17:30 | Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings | SELL | 0.998 | $297.09 |
| 03-12 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 16? | SELL | 0.06 | $17.28 |
| 03-11 16:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 16? | BUY | 0.06 | $119.81 |
| 03-08 17:11 | Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $236.20 |
| 03-08 16:05 | Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | BUY | 0.98 | $231.71 |
| 02-26 11:35 | Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 02-26 09:50 | Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.44 |