0x18bd608e7bda3ba5c0d73f0fec0b6aadc1921ec6
- Realised P&L
- $-3.52
- Volume
- $51.90
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $6.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.997 | $2.56 | +$0.97 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.750 | $2.30 | +$0.03 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.550 | $1.22 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.39at 0.620US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.95at 0.708Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.93at 0.710Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$0.77at 0.748SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?
- +$0.55at 0.806Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:56 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $2.27 |
| 09-15 13:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999277 | $1.24 |
| 09-13 04:18 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7099999312 | $2.27 |
| 09-11 06:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $2.27 |
| 09-10 22:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4399999922 | $2.27 |
| 09-10 07:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6199997894 | $1.59 |
| 09-09 22:15 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6999999383 | $2.27 |
| 09-09 13:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6199999508 | $2.27 |
| 09-08 16:06 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $2.27 |
| 09-08 06:47 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.27 |
| 09-07 20:24 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.309999985 | $2.27 |
| 09-07 09:34 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.27 |