zx323
0x18ade52074dccb3221b41da6ab47f6b7b3a41952
- Realised P&L
- $-361.37
- Volume
- $726.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,128
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,128
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$674.28at 0.743Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$672.70at 0.747Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?
- +$620.14at 0.927Timberwolves vs. Pistons
- +$551.28at 0.743Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$480.05at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.975 | $458.25 |
| 08-26 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.552 | $55.20 |
| 08-21 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 08-01 04:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 07-30 07:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.982 | $392.80 |
| 07-29 20:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $26.65 |
| 07-29 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 07-28 21:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $89.33 |
| 07-25 20:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.994 | $57.77 |
| 07-24 18:57 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-24 01:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.737 | $7.37 |
| 07-23 13:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.13 |
| 07-22 02:37 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $79.80 |
| 07-19 21:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.065 | $6.50 |
| 07-19 20:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.166 | $16.60 |