PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zx323

0x18ade52074dccb3221b41da6ab47f6b7b3a41952

Realised P&L
$-361.37
Volume
$726.8k
Markets traded
1,128
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,128
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? · Yes0.9750.970$1.5k$8.24
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$5.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No0.5390.000$0.00$53.90
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.10
Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Spurs0.7400.000$0.00$74.00
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$6.90
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6500.000$0.00$32.50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$465.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$10.00
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26? · No0.5520.000$0.00$55.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16?BUY0.975$458.25
08-26 16:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?BUY0.552$55.20
08-21 17:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.31$31.00
08-01 04:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$60.00
07-30 07:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?BUY0.982$392.80
07-29 20:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?BUY0.989$26.65
07-29 16:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?BUY0.93$93.00
07-28 21:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?BUY0.997$89.33
07-25 20:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?BUY0.994$57.77
07-24 18:57Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.001$0.01
07-24 01:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.737$7.37
07-23 13:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?BUY0.997$199.13
07-22 02:37Natural Disaster in 2026?SELL0.24$79.80
07-19 21:11Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.065$6.50
07-19 20:54Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5SELL0.166$16.60