0x18ad8d1f85b9cada4de644f547b6e4cb1ab4b7a8
0x18ad8d1f85b9cada4de644f547b6e4cb1ab4b7a8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.93
- Volume
- $193.80
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.670 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET · Down | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.56at 0.648Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$0.31at 0.767Will England win on 2026-09-29?
- +$0.20at 0.836Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?
- +$0.03at 0.409Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$0.03at 0.972Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 03:35 | Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.80 |
| 10-14 12:14 | Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 12:14 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 10-14 12:13 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 12:09 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.77 |
| 10-14 05:52 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:52 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.48 |
| 10-12 07:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 10-08 06:29 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:29 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:29 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.433 | $1.09 |
| 10-02 06:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3979999705 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:21 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:47 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |