PolyBot

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Traders

0x18ad8d1f85b9cada4de644f547b6e4cb1ab4b7a8

0x18ad8d1f85b9cada4de644f547b6e4cb1ab4b7a8

Realised P&L
$-2.93
Volume
$193.80
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$1.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes0.5500.670$1.22+$0.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down - September 20, 1AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 03:35Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?SELL0.51$0.80
10-14 12:14Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?BUY0.64$1.00
10-14 12:14Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?SELL0.19$0.95
10-14 12:13Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?BUY0.2$1.00
10-14 12:09Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.027$0.77
10-14 05:52Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-14 05:52Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?SELL0.3$0.48
10-12 07:07Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.007$0.35
10-08 06:29Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0349999995$1.00
10-08 06:29Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-03 12:29Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.433$1.09
10-02 06:55Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3979999705$1.00
09-30 05:21Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.02$1.00
09-29 03:47Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.75$1.00
09-29 03:47Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.8199999836$1.00