mingzhujia
0x18ad2e3eedb95aa7a0726fe2f3f7c409e291d00e
- Realised P&L
- $-27.44
- Volume
- $108.8k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $8.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.530 | $5.30 | −$2.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.300 | $3.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in September? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.061Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.959Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
- +$0.21at 0.996Will the price of Solana be above $140 on March 4?
- +$0.14at 0.971Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.11at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 10-05 01:01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-05 01:01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 10-05 00:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.9071684588 | $12.66 |
| 10-05 00:10 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $86 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-28 02:32 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 Week of September 28 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-28 02:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 28 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.56 |
| 09-28 02:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 28 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-14 06:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-14 05:55 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-14 03:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 09-14 03:47 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.38 |
| 09-14 03:40 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.38 |
| 09-14 03:40 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |