0x18a6bc234b448ccab02048e94d3ca4ec596d6ba2
0x18a6bc234b448ccab02048e94d3ca4ec596d6ba2
- Realised P&L
- $31.80
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $6.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.07at 0.203Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?
- +$23.89at 0.307Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?
- +$19.10at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$17.40at 0.245Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET
- +$13.30at 0.441Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-22 03:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 11:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.019 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 06:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0057593651 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.4250292771 | $20.00 |