PolyBot

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Traders

0x18a6bc234b448ccab02048e94d3ca4ec596d6ba2

0x18a6bc234b448ccab02048e94d3ca4ec596d6ba2

Realised P&L
$31.80
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$6.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? · Up0.0500.033$3.25−$1.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3AM ET · Up0.1600.095$2.97−$2.03
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$10.80
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$1.09
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$10.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$5.30
Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$5.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$1.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No0.9510.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$1.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? · No0.9670.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3AM ETBUY0.16$5.00
10-22 06:39Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?BUY0.05$5.00
10-22 06:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ETBUY0.04$5.00
10-22 03:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.5$20.00
10-22 03:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11PM ETBUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-21 18:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ETBUY0.4199999966$10.00
10-21 11:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.019$2.00
10-21 08:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-21 06:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ETBUY0.08$2.00
10-21 05:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ETBUY0.2$2.00
10-21 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12AM ETBUY0.3299999489$2.00
10-21 03:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.95$10.00
10-21 03:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ETBUY0.4599999034$2.00
10-21 03:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.0057593651$2.00
10-21 01:20Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?BUY0.4250292771$20.00