PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mumumur

0x18a418d3e1213ff6103244666fdd91c64b9c5341

Realised P&L
$10.87
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$192.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9650.965$51.75$0.03
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.945$51.62+$0.27
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · No0.9810.978$40.08$0.14
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.9900.981$31.22$0.29
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · No0.9570.964$17.34+$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-10 13:09Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.9399999981$20.28