PolyBot

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Traders

TheQuietGambler

0x189ff74898f2fa5c048599cb273bcd00a3660d13

Realised P&L
$-396.58
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$134.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 23:19Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
10-20 23:19Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-20 23:07Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5359999976$20.00
10-20 23:07Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1169999998$50.00
10-20 22:49Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1169999993$5.00
10-03 12:47Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.19$11.40
10-03 12:47Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.549$5.49
10-03 12:44Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.19$19.00
05-30 17:58Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.0599999724$2.00
05-30 17:51Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
05-30 17:42Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
05-30 17:14Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.16$5.00
04-21 19:48Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$1.65
04-21 19:47Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.22$4.40
04-21 15:53Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.29$14.50