bet-lover
0x189c62a6c721ee09a969aa77c10a2e19da0e5ae0
- Realised P&L
- $-176.02
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $16.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.065 | $16.68 | −$155.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.64at 0.850Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$48.51at 0.710Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$18.80at 0.953Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.320Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
- +$2.45at 0.943Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-02 12:55 | Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.25 |
| 01-24 12:00 | Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $41.23 |
| 01-21 18:10 | Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $152.84 |
| 01-18 15:00 | Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $0.70 |
| 12-25 12:33 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SELL | 0.147 | $40.78 |
| 12-25 12:33 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SELL | 0.1526421907 | $40.25 |
| 12-25 12:33 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SELL | 0.1554374337 | $11.73 |
| 12-24 18:31 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.3414639237 | $45.24 |
| 12-24 18:30 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.3289261538 | $106.90 |
| 12-24 18:30 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.326 | $6.26 |
| 12-24 18:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.88 | $158.40 |
| 12-24 18:28 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.350999997 | $63.29 |
| 12-23 08:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $500.00 |
| 12-01 09:19 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SELL | 0.0703275109 | $50.89 |
| 11-27 07:03 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $96.00 |