PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bet-lover

0x189c62a6c721ee09a969aa77c10a2e19da0e5ae0

Realised P&L
$-176.02
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$16.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6700.065$16.68$155.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-02 12:55Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.93$0.25
01-24 12:00Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$41.23
01-21 18:10Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.71$152.84
01-18 15:00Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.7$0.70
12-25 12:33Epstein client list released in 2025?SELL0.147$40.78
12-25 12:33Epstein client list released in 2025?SELL0.1526421907$40.25
12-25 12:33Epstein client list released in 2025?SELL0.1554374337$11.73
12-24 18:31Epstein client list released in 2025?BUY0.3414639237$45.24
12-24 18:30Epstein client list released in 2025?BUY0.3289261538$106.90
12-24 18:30Epstein client list released in 2025?BUY0.326$6.26
12-24 18:30Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.88$158.40
12-24 18:28Epstein client list released in 2025?BUY0.350999997$63.29
12-23 08:24Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.8499999999$500.00
12-01 09:19Epstein client list released in 2025?SELL0.0703275109$50.89
11-27 07:03Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?BUY0.32$96.00