PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x189a6fc46a6bc241a55a79d76388d5d4cfcac2db

Realised P&L
$31.50
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$3.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0060.036$1.19+$0.99
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.1990.066$0.92$1.87
Will Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0110.012$0.22+$0.02
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.011$0.20$0.01
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0110.009$0.16$0.03
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0130.007$0.11$0.08
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0080.004$0.11$0.08
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0050.003$0.10$0.10
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0100.005$0.10$0.08
Will Ben Rice hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0080.003$0.06$0.14
Will Francisco Lindor lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0080.003$0.06$0.12
Will David Martinez be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$0.05$0.13
Will Walker Jenkins win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0070.002$0.05$0.20
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0200.005$0.05$0.15
Will Owen Caissie win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0070.002$0.05$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 18:34Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?BUY0.25$1.25
06-01 17:49Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?BUY0.18$0.97
06-01 15:35Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.25$1.29
06-01 15:27Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.28$1.45
06-01 15:25Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.23$1.19
06-01 15:18Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.3$1.55
06-01 10:43Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?SELL0.11$0.56
06-01 10:37Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?BUY0.22$1.12
06-01 08:16Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.3$1.53
06-01 08:10Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.33$1.68
06-01 07:18Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$1.55
05-31 21:43Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.39$1.99
05-31 21:43Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?SELL0.2$1.02
05-31 21:43Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.205$1.05
05-31 21:43Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.33$1.69