PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MarkusSch

0x188bdc93176131f78bfa2431857682c27e147e90

Realised P&L
$-7.74
Volume
$37.56
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-20.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes0.6200.570$1.84$0.16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.53
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Spain" this week? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 18:45Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
07-30 06:22Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?SELL0.99$2.00
07-20 17:26Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?BUY0.09$1.53
07-20 17:26Will Trump say "Spain" this week?BUY0.84$2.00
07-20 17:24Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?BUY0.9$2.00
07-20 17:23Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?BUY0.99$2.00
07-20 17:21Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?BUY0.619999969$2.00