MarkusSch
0x188bdc93176131f78bfa2431857682c27e147e90
- Realised P&L
- $-7.74
- Volume
- $37.56
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.570 | $1.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.53 |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Spain" this week? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.00at 0.990Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 18:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 06:22 | Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 17:26 | Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.53 |
| 07-20 17:26 | Will Trump say "Spain" this week? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 17:24 | Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 17:23 | Will Michelle "MJ" Jones die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 17:21 | Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |