PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x18895956d29f253607bFF2ef116613137F7DeCD7-1767683308801

0x18895956d29f253607bff2ef116613137f7decd7

Realised P&L
$-604.64
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$223.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1220.117$104.54$5.46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1460.075$82.02$77.98
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1650.040$15.73$49.27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6170.230$11.18$18.82
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$4.89$20.11
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes0.1050.101$4.76$0.24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00$30.00
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? · No0.0900.000$0.00$30.00
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$30.00
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$30.00
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · No0.0800.000$0.00$30.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$14.83
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 06:07Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0559999966$14.83
07-07 01:34Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3289999938$30.00
07-07 01:34Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1829999953$30.00
06-18 12:02Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?BUY0.0796516308$30.00
06-18 12:02Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?BUY0.089797534$30.00
06-18 12:00Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0569999983$30.00
06-18 11:56Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?BUY0.3$30.00
06-18 11:56Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.25$30.00
06-14 07:48Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
06-14 07:48Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
04-06 03:26Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
04-06 03:26Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5599999776$10.00
04-06 03:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
04-06 03:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
04-06 03:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00