0x18895956d29f253607bFF2ef116613137F7DeCD7-1767683308801
0x18895956d29f253607bff2ef116613137f7decd7
- Realised P&L
- $-604.64
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $223.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.24at 0.391Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$133.93at 0.183Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.82at 0.440Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$21.52at 0.810Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$20.40at 0.831Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 06:07 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999966 | $14.83 |
| 07-07 01:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3289999938 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 01:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1829999953 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 12:02 | Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | BUY | 0.0796516308 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 12:02 | Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? | BUY | 0.089797534 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 12:00 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999983 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 11:56 | Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 11:56 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 07:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 06-14 07:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 04-06 03:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 03:26 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 03:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 03:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 03:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |