An1na20
0x18860e008cbacb7462a6c2311696cbce6a627018
- Realised P&L
- $0.87
- Volume
- $222.4k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $2.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? · No | 0.989 | 0.977 | $2.19 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.960Megaquake in January?
- +$0.25at 0.917Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.17at 0.950Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
- +$0.13at 0.958Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 13?
- +$0.08at 0.971Lula out before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:52 | Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? | BUY | 0.9889999982 | $2.22 |
| 09-13 05:52 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $2.32 |
| 08-05 11:37 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9619997177 | $2.29 |
| 07-27 09:39 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.55 |
| 06-04 07:17 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $345? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 07:05 | Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.03 |
| 05-12 04:52 | Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.9789999985 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 04:40 | Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.966 | $2.84 |
| 04-07 15:00 | Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.9809998194 | $2.89 |
| 04-07 14:59 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | SELL | 0.965 | $2.89 |
| 03-15 11:37 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | BUY | 0.9929998479 | $2.97 |
| 02-24 08:38 | Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.985999998 | $2.93 |
| 01-31 03:27 | Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.89 |
| 12-02 05:13 | Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by December 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.86 |
| 12-02 04:49 | Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.86 |