0x18836e09a3dc99fb5fc738d13c61713185a9f168
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.001 | $3.79 | −$207.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-8.14at 0.206Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$-12.89at 0.164Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$-95.48at 0.059Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:58 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.19 | $68.56 |
| 10-14 21:58 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.0204572603 | $49.65 |
| 10-14 21:58 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1518439689 | $110.77 |
| 10-13 20:34 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 20:34 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0564915758 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 20:34 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0209592134 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 20:34 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0195935733 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 20:34 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0564989671 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 20:33 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0208970818 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 20:33 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0208955223 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 20:33 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0208970818 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 20:33 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0203715377 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:33 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0182475408 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:33 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0060017805 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:32 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1569999939 | $4.00 |