arsr
0x1880d50e8d6677268fea7590b43926323d5195ed
- Realised P&L
- $-8.26
- Volume
- $313.75
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.025 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 3? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.21at 0.201Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.90at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$0.12at 0.366Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5?
- +$-0.94at 0.016Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?
- +$-0.96at 0.037Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.32 |
| 10-05 04:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.3499999045 | $1.10 |
| 10-05 04:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0789999991 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.11 |
| 10-04 19:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.21 |
| 10-03 18:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0150131011 | $1.06 |
| 10-03 17:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0579999994 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 16:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $7.36 |
| 10-03 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |