0x187b318c1b1259ce7a52300d0676ff21e18f8848
0x187b318c1b1259ce7a52300d0676ff21e18f8848
- Realised P&L
- $-11.7k
- Volume
- $239.1k
- Markets traded
- 843
- Open portfolio
- $966.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded843
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Nets · Nets | 0.272 | 0.595 | $218.53 | +$118.53 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.625 | $187.50 | −$10.50 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) · Pelicans | 0.520 | 0.645 | $124.04 | +$24.04 |
| Kings vs. Lakers · Kings | 0.210 | 0.245 | $116.67 | +$16.67 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls · Grizzlies | 0.419 | 0.425 | $101.40 | +$1.40 |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) · Hawks | 0.480 | 0.450 | $93.81 | −$6.19 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) · Wizards | 0.540 | 0.460 | $85.19 | −$14.81 |
| Hawks vs. Spurs · Hawks | 0.293 | 0.200 | $34.15 | −$15.85 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.505 | $5.08 | +$0.05 |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.430 | 0.002 | $0.47 | −$99.53 |
| Pelicans vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.20 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors · Lakers | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers · Warriors | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| Heat vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.99 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers · Timberwolves | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$741.31at 0.610Suns vs. Pelicans
- +$645.79at 0.520Bucks vs. Pacers
- +$620.11at 0.550Nuggets vs. Heat
- +$568.86at 0.590Lakers vs. Suns
- +$568.31at 0.390Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:49 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.5 | $2.52 |
| 10-08 16:48 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.4191400804 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 16:48 | Kings vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 16:47 | Hawks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.2928583561 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 16:47 | Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | BUY | 0.479675934 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 16:47 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 16:46 | 76ers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.2722771308 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 16:46 | Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 16:46 | Spread: Heat (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 09:36 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.23 | $92.00 |
| 10-07 09:35 | Timberwolves vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.59 | $100.30 |
| 10-06 08:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.66 | $198.00 |
| 10-06 08:30 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 08:29 | Pelicans vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.62 | $99.20 |
| 10-06 08:27 | Nets vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.35 | $105.00 |