0x1868e8ee91db40cd072ca1d32c49147e742d95ed
0x1868e8ee91db40cd072ca1d32c49147e742d95ed
- Realised P&L
- $0.01
- Volume
- $25.29
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $9.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.525 | $2.62 | +$0.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.585 | $2.35 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.390 | $1.12 | −$0.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.270 | $1.07 | −$0.08 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.335 | $1.07 | −$0.08 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.325 | $1.04 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.986Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3599999374 | $1.15 |
| 09-23 18:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5899999546 | $1.17 |
| 09-23 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.4687656592 | $1.16 |
| 09-23 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.4599998414 | $1.16 |
| 09-23 15:43 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.4026445416 | $1.16 |
| 09-23 14:38 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.2899999445 | $1.15 |
| 09-23 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.3599999374 | $1.15 |
| 09-23 13:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5748666136 | $1.17 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.51 |
| 09-16 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9799994607 | $1.49 |