JVCLHP
0x186451ed86ac3592f3b684f543720e0e54853d78
- Realised P&L
- $75.88
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.007 | $1.97 | −$43.03 |
| Bitcoin above $110,000 on June 17? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.23at 0.399Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$46.55at 0.762Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$5.80at 0.969North Korea missile launch by October 15?
- +$4.82at 0.912Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$3.03at 0.730Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:47 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0823412693 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 22:13 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1980845227 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 21:42 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.96 | $482.74 |
| 10-04 20:25 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 10-04 19:40 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999991 | $96.00 |
| 10-04 19:39 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 00:50 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.095 | $23.03 |
| 07-03 00:47 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.185 | $50.81 |
| 07-02 20:37 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5824999997 | $160.00 |
| 07-02 20:37 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1649999968 | $40.00 |
| 07-02 20:32 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.9825 | $207.82 |
| 07-02 18:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7424999979 | $60.00 |
| 07-02 17:24 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7649999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 13:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.48 |
| 10-14 13:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.0109610126 | $1.24 |