0x185b743548a75209987cbAb0083E0081BcC6Ae0B-1780016935209
0x185b743548a75209987cbab0083e0081bcc6ae0b
- Realised P&L
- $-25.15
- Volume
- $726.19
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Universidad Católica win Copa Libertadores? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.011 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) · CA Boca Juniors | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? · Yes | 0.715 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) · Spain | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) · Ecuador | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.235Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$2.82at 0.266Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$2.55at 0.286Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
- +$2.43at 0.296Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05?
- +$2.21at 0.316Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 21:39 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 07-01 21:18 | Spread: Senegal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 03:46 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 23:19 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 18:44 | Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? | SELL | 0.069 | $0.30 |
| 06-29 17:45 | Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? | BUY | 0.1159999063 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 17:44 | Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 17:43 | Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.279999909 | $1.60 |
| 06-26 20:36 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 20:21 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:24 | Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.6879999615 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 20:29 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.7969999299 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 21:32 | Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 20:28 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 17:11 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |