weathereport
0x18568b976f61b765356f41191dd2f8711779c488
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $52.6k
- Markets traded
- 513
- Open portfolio
- $105.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded513
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 8? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $59.19 | +$0.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8? · No | 0.986 | 1.000 | $23.98 | +$0.31 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $22.59 | +$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.78at 0.322Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?
- +$74.60at 0.407Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?
- +$73.25at 0.824Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6?
- +$59.96at 0.811Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 5?
- +$59.74at 0.801Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 06:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.9889872204 | $773.88 |
| 10-08 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9864735306 | $23.67 |
| 10-08 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.0521681006 | $3.94 |
| 10-08 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.0719082126 | $10.72 |
| 10-08 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.7296747967 | $28.72 |
| 10-08 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8860178938 | $22.25 |
| 10-08 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8450872022 | $34.40 |
| 10-08 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8179013814 | $20.50 |
| 10-08 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.7303925707 | $17.30 |
| 10-08 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6666022216 | $35.51 |
| 10-08 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6343760782 | $11.03 |
| 10-08 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9898311381 | $58.62 |
| 10-08 00:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.37 |
| 10-07 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.146 | $1.46 |
| 10-07 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |