PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weathereport

0x18568b976f61b765356f41191dd2f8711779c488

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$52.6k
Markets traded
513
Open portfolio
$105.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded513
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 8? · No0.9901.000$59.19+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8? · No0.9861.000$23.98+$0.31
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8? · No0.9901.000$22.59+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$37.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · No0.9690.000$0.00−$1.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 06:53Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7?BUY0.9889872204$773.88
10-08 06:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.9864735306$23.67
10-08 05:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?SELL0.0521681006$3.94
10-08 05:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?SELL0.0719082126$10.72
10-08 04:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.7296747967$28.72
10-08 03:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.8860178938$22.25
10-08 03:58Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.8450872022$34.40
10-08 03:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.8179013814$20.50
10-08 03:55Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.7303925707$17.30
10-08 03:41Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.6666022216$35.51
10-08 03:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.6343760782$11.03
10-08 02:54Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.9898311381$58.62
10-08 00:00Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.99$22.37
10-07 21:22Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.146$1.46
10-07 20:47Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.65$6.50