0x18564e3eff781ccdd9053b8c0cf3d2db0ac06a79
0x18564e3eff781ccdd9053b8c0cf3d2db0ac06a79
- Realised P&L
- $-20.44
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $60.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.15at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$5.44at 0.269Counter-Strike: OG vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
- +$4.56at 0.184Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Isurus (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group C
- +$4.31at 0.384Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group B
- +$3.92at 0.216Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs NEXVOID (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:42 | Will CD La Serena win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 16:42 | Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group C | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:41 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs BARCA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899999971 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0051419169 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:36 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:35 | Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:34 | Counter-Strike: Acend vs FOKUS (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3499999978 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 16:33 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:31 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:21 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.88 | $2.59 |
| 11-01 15:21 | KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa | SELL | 0.89 | $3.70 |
| 11-01 15:20 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.67 |
| 11-01 15:19 | Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | SELL | 0.999 | $4.34 |
| 11-01 14:00 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |