PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chironed

0x1854ca23dc89f83fa7e9c5473800e9532fc22381

Realised P&L
$0.34
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$23.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October? · No0.9000.895$4.97−$0.03
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? · No0.8300.825$4.97−$0.03
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? · Yes0.7900.785$4.97−$0.03
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? · Yes0.7840.772$4.92−$0.08
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes0.8300.690$4.16−$0.84
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$4.40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 22:35Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?BUY0.7839999686$5.00
10-11 22:35Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-11 22:31Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
10-11 22:31Will Drake release a new album by December 31?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
10-11 22:29Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?BUY0.9$5.00
06-14 20:53Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
02-15 04:49Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?SELL0.983$10.92
02-09 17:04Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.003$1.20
02-09 12:43Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.044$4.40
02-08 19:05US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?SELL0.994$100.70
02-08 19:05US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?SELL0.9764957062$98.93
02-08 18:03Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?SELL0.79$20.78
02-08 16:38Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?SELL0.999$25.28
02-08 16:17Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.7599999954$20.00
02-08 16:01Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?BUY0.7899999968$20.00