chironed
0x1854ca23dc89f83fa7e9c5473800e9532fc22381
- Realised P&L
- $0.34
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $23.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October? · No | 0.900 | 0.895 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? · No | 0.830 | 0.825 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.785 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? · Yes | 0.784 | 0.772 | $4.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.690 | $4.16 | −$0.84 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.29at 0.790Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
- +$3.20at 0.969US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.860Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
- +$1.11at 0.989US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.900Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:35 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.7839999686 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 22:35 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 22:31 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 22:31 | Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 22:29 | Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 20:53 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 02-15 04:49 | Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month? | SELL | 0.983 | $10.92 |
| 02-09 17:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 02-09 12:43 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.044 | $4.40 |
| 02-08 19:05 | US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $100.70 |
| 02-08 19:05 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.9764957062 | $98.93 |
| 02-08 18:03 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.79 | $20.78 |
| 02-08 16:38 | Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.28 |
| 02-08 16:17 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 02-08 16:01 | Will 1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |