DarthCarpool
0x1852fdbadc074dacb271af5c01e6d76d31eabc50
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $894.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.065 | $693.71 | −$1.3k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.045 | $183.03 | −$316.97 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 1.000 | $17.95 | +$3.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.429 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.31at 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$4.12at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$4.04at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999922 | $14.00 |
| 07-22 18:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.159372074 | $500.00 |
| 07-22 18:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1044174758 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 22:10 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.0377023962 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 18:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1707000884 | $931.60 |
| 07-09 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2699998627 | $1.20 |
| 07-09 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.449999988 | $15.00 |
| 07-09 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $14.35 |
| 07-09 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $13.39 |
| 07-09 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 15:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999473 | $4.00 |
| 07-09 15:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $7.65 |
| 07-09 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999561 | $3.56 |