cryptshadowpro
0x184a0d3a125a70e0a4424acb770d8073d3cce6e3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.13
- Volume
- $65.01
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $4.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.612 | 0.440 | $2.20 | −$0.86 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.400 | $2.00 | −$0.75 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.629 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.65 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.79at 0.489Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$2.67at 0.466Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$2.30at 0.540US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.06at 0.587Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
- +$1.49at 0.487Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:42 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-19 02:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.449 | $2.25 |
| 08-05 08:49 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.398 | $1.99 |
| 07-21 02:42 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.612 | $3.06 |
| 07-17 03:06 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.419999923 | $1.20 |
| 06-30 04:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4799999314 | $1.40 |
| 06-10 02:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | BUY | 0.589999882 | $1.50 |
| 06-02 05:06 | Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 05-26 05:03 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6289999175 | $1.80 |
| 05-18 06:17 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 05-11 04:44 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799998835 | $1.50 |
| 04-28 06:16 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 04-16 04:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.05 |
| 03-24 03:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |