schlemo
0x1849213f8ebb98a2c50a4d9b11a498f7a3440883
- Realised P&L
- $-38.08
- Volume
- $293.68
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $6.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? · Up | 0.200 | 0.130 | $6.50 | −$3.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? · Down | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.33at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$5.53at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$4.82at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$3.51at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$0.72at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 04:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 10-21 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999955 | $25.00 |
| 10-21 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $25.00 |
| 10-21 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 10-21 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.829999998 | $25.00 |
| 10-21 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999965 | $25.00 |
| 10-21 17:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-21 10:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |