0x184360f0e4b0298115713ef25e1fcea8e772846b
0x184360f0e4b0298115713ef25e1fcea8e772846b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.68
- Volume
- $39.01
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.845 | $1.80 | +$0.80 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.285 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.570Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$0.69at 0.590US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.67at 0.600US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$0.56at 0.640Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:28 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:30 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 03:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 19:30 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:36 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:34 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:23 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 06:15 | Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 09:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 01:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |