PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x184360f0e4b0298115713ef25e1fcea8e772846b

0x184360f0e4b0298115713ef25e1fcea8e772846b

Realised P&L
$-4.68
Volume
$39.01
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$2.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.4700.845$1.80+$0.80
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4200.285$0.68$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 07:28Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-20 21:27Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-19 07:30Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$1.00
09-17 17:41Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-16 05:13Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-11 03:50SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-10 19:30Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-09 22:36Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-09 14:34Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-09 14:23Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-09 06:15Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?BUY0.69999972$1.00
09-08 05:11SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-07 17:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6$1.00
09-07 09:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-04 01:46S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?BUY0.54$1.00