PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x183Cd63283423F577774d5EA7ae04FaF53CF0178-1778154150160

0x183cd63283423f577774d5ea7ae04faf53cf0178

Realised P&L
$-51.25
Volume
$949.79
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$7.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1550.021$4.01$24.99
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · Yes0.1900.050$3.65$10.35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 11:17Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1799999892$13.00
07-14 10:52Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0338280543$5.00
07-14 10:50Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.54$18.39
07-11 20:21Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1399999928$16.00
07-11 20:21Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0260675079$5.00
07-11 20:17Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?BUY0.179999987$10.00
06-08 09:42Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
06-04 09:53Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?BUY0.08$5.00
06-04 09:48US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.699999993$10.00
06-04 09:45Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?BUY0.0654205489$5.00
05-13 06:11Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?BUY0.2199999593$4.00
05-13 06:07Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6299999483$10.00
05-13 06:06Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.3395995917$10.00
05-13 06:05Will Putin visit China by May 31?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
05-13 05:52Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3299999812$10.00