planetnine
0x183a2a0b034877e761af0778da5134bebc37d514
- Realised P&L
- $-22.0k
- Volume
- $19.68M
- Markets traded
- 498
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded498
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.534 | 0.695 | $2.1k | +$494.08 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.460 | 0.595 | $1.2k | +$270.00 |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.581 | 0.460 | $827.98 | −$217.98 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.595 | $595.00 | +$85.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.605 | $140.97 | +$29.13 |
| Spread: Panthers (-2.5) · Panthers | 0.530 | 0.525 | $99.06 | −$0.94 |
| Spread: SF (-12.5) · SF | 0.510 | 0.505 | $99.02 | −$0.98 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) · Buccaneers | 0.510 | 0.505 | $99.02 | −$0.98 |
| Spread: Chargers (-6.5) · Raiders | 0.500 | 0.495 | $99.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) · Bears | 0.500 | 0.495 | $99.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Broncos (-2.5) · Jaguars | 0.480 | 0.475 | $98.96 | −$1.04 |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.180 | $90.00 | −$85.00 |
| Spread: Broncos (-13.5) · Broncos | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.751 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.6kat 0.245US military action against Iran by Monday?
- +$15.7kat 0.833Israel military response against Iran in October?
- +$14.3kat 0.530Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$11.8kat 0.565US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$11.7kat 0.650US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 13:56 | Spread: SF (-12.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 13:56 | Spread: Chargers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 13:56 | Spread: Broncos (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 13:55 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.529999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 13:54 | Spread: Bears (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 13:54 | Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 01:45 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.8648905455 | $951.38 |
| 09-10 22:12 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.65 | $100.75 |
| 09-09 21:51 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 17:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.84 |
| 08-05 18:31 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.72 | $720.00 |
| 08-04 14:24 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.32 |
| 08-02 13:11 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.34 | $822.16 |
| 07-27 22:58 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 20:37 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.29 | $52.49 |