0x183838672795f404a7B7eCd40fC31c4c8A45226E-1778236299147
0x183838672795f404a7b7ecd40fc31c4c8a45226e
- Realised P&L
- $93.07
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 728
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded728
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? · No | 0.976 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 19? · No | 0.973 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.59 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10AM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.80 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 19? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.64 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10AM ET · Down | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET · Up | 0.989 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.89 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.56 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 6? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.06at 0.906Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?
- +$1.75at 0.917Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
- +$1.57at 0.925Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?
- +$1.50at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$1.50at 0.906Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 15:10 | XRP Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 10-06 15:10 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 10-06 15:09 | Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 10-06 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.10 |
| 10-06 15:08 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 10-06 15:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6? | BUY | 0.93 | $11.16 |
| 10-06 15:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.10 |
| 10-06 15:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 10-06 15:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $14.56 |
| 10-06 15:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $19.32 |
| 10-06 11:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-06 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.978 | $14.67 |
| 10-06 10:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 10-06 07:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 10-06 03:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $8.55 |