PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cka3ka

0x183469041d706a2d24d96ce0b72425181fda4c98

Realised P&L
$-237.98
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$5.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1340.021$5.39$28.31
Steelers vs. Lions · Lions0.7500.000$0.00$10.00
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers · Celtics0.6900.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10? · No0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Nets vs. 76ers · 76ers0.7900.000$0.00$20.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.6800.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12? · No0.2680.000$0.00$26.64
Raptors vs. Heat · Heat0.6600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 December 8-14? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Nuggets vs. Mavericks · Nuggets0.7300.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11? · No0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Bulls vs. Hawks · Hawks0.6200.000$0.00$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 5PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 12? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 07:05Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1343621086$93.00
06-15 20:23Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0090616646$11.00
06-15 20:21Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.107$12.20
06-11 14:51Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.007$4.59
05-26 07:30Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.022999989$2.00
05-20 20:43Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999957$17.00
05-20 20:37Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999631$2.00
05-20 20:37Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.66$0.98
05-20 20:36Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?SELL0.9$0.95
05-20 20:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
05-20 20:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
05-18 17:41Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
05-18 17:40Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.84$1.00
05-18 17:39Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
05-16 16:54Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?BUY0.4$1.00