doesnaughtmatter
0x1831303deec90ad1a4568864a03025f067d45544
- Realised P&L
- $-10.3k
- Volume
- $388.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,684
- Open portfolio
- $1.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,684
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$350.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$318.78at 0.604Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$300.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$250.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$250.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 08:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 10-24 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $60.60 |
| 10-23 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $33.88 |
| 10-23 13:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.299 | $29.90 |
| 10-23 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999962 | $23.78 |
| 10-23 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-23 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $23.97 |
| 10-22 21:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $23.56 |
| 10-22 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $4.42 |
| 10-22 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-22 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.335 | $13.40 |
| 10-22 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $37.62 |
| 10-22 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $24.32 |
| 10-22 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $23.92 |
| 10-22 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |