jane07
0x1826cf7e9e6e608e5b934d9d979e02566fcf0046
- Realised P&L
- $-3.44
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $42.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.865 | $16.42 | +$3.70 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25? · No | 0.840 | 0.905 | $10.54 | +$0.76 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · No | 0.680 | 0.680 | $9.48 | +$0.00 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.845 | $5.89 | +$0.38 |
| Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.79at 0.420Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$7.03at 0.640Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$5.04at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?
- +$2.53at 0.760Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 4?
- +$1.41at 0.954Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:49 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999781 | $4.89 |
| 01-31 13:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999518 | $18.11 |
| 01-30 16:27 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.50 |
| 01-30 14:49 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.20 |
| 01-30 12:50 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $24.17 |
| 12-30 10:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.75 |
| 12-29 23:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999723 | $13.61 |
| 12-29 23:27 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9989999831 | $44.21 |
| 12-29 21:03 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999747 | $24.05 |
| 10-30 20:49 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.66 |
| 10-30 18:37 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9539999996 | $29.19 |
| 10-30 17:37 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.39 |
| 09-29 13:01 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.13 |
| 09-29 03:20 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.72 |
| 09-29 02:42 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999997 | $16.36 |