PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x181cEc1E00fd78B085861dd6a97428FdD4300A41-1758535236128

0x181cec1e00fd78b085861dd6a97428fdd4300a41

Realised P&L
$80.50
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$44.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration74.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2320.158$44.20−$20.80
Will any contestant beat Luke Littler? · No0.2190.000$0.00−$66.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:33Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2315978586$65.00
10-30 18:51Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?BUY0.2164765249$17.00
10-30 18:09Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?BUY0.2199999997$49.00
04-13 12:09Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?SELL0.989$34.98
04-13 12:09Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.99$162.97
04-06 17:58Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?BUY0.4$14.15
04-06 17:55Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6499999982$107.00
03-06 16:42Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.61$29.23
03-06 16:39Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.61$9.74
03-06 16:22Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.61$12.81
03-06 16:01Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.6$12.00
03-06 15:51Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.6$12.00
03-05 15:24Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.63$20.16
03-02 15:51Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.640353125$20.49
03-01 16:24Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.629999999$119.00