0x1819b16bc00a6ffb6a42d2a74d533af6c2f7faa1
- Realised P&L
- $1.26
- Volume
- $78.03
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $6.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.510 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.995 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.760 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.565 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.130 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?
- +$0.80at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:54 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:39 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:34 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:36 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:08 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 04:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:11 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:27 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |