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0x181714cc83bdc56bf8f8e1e11cabb56e62d09eb2
- Realised P&L
- $-767.97
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $297.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.306 | 0.180 | $230.46 | −$161.94 |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $66.89 | −$35.41 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$270.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-331.21at 0.602Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 13:34 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | SELL | 0.3854590137 | $279.50 |
| 06-17 13:05 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | SELL | 0.4580610582 | $160.24 |
| 06-17 12:54 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | SELL | 0.5528088916 | $109.92 |
| 06-17 00:55 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.5918902938 | $947.02 |
| 06-17 00:49 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.5968567536 | $200.00 |
| 06-15 23:38 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.13 | $102.31 |
| 06-15 23:38 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3156856297 | $300.00 |
| 06-15 22:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.169 | $270.40 |