PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1812C595F2d84120c0B07336f92AE76393a47011-1785792252314

0x1812c595f2d84120c0b07336f92ae76393a47011

Realised P&L
$-9.15
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$602.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 21? · No0.6200.670$27.47+$2.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.9970.996$20.42$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 21? · Yes0.4550.460$18.86+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? · No0.4450.450$18.45+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22? · Yes0.4500.425$17.43$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22? · No0.6600.830$17.02+$3.48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? · No0.5670.555$16.93$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22? · Yes0.5100.475$15.55$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? · No0.4400.380$15.23$2.39
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 22? · Yes0.4200.370$15.17$2.05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21? · Yes0.6120.485$15.17$3.99
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 22? · Yes0.3860.475$15.07+$2.81
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22? · No0.5960.600$15.00+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 21? · Yes0.3950.350$14.35$1.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 21? · Yes0.3700.335$13.73$1.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.