foxly
0x180df330ee20dbf2f9c5a21fbdd4af034b4a7222
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $478.0k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.5k | +$0.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 30? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.32 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.10at 0.953Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
- +$225.81at 0.930Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?
- +$200.47at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9?
- +$194.56at 0.970Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?
- +$112.17at 0.978Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-18 07:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |