PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weirdly

0x1803ba68d60b7c54e6c0f94e4272c3fab4c209a9

Realised P&L
$-120.81
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$35.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Micron" in October? · Yes0.2400.390$19.50+$7.50
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? · Yes0.5000.805$16.10+$6.10
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? · Yes0.5000.010$0.20−$9.80
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$3.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 00:22Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 148k?SELL0.0069854167$0.84
10-03 00:22Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?SELL0.00145595$0.87
10-03 00:22Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 154k?SELL0.0027957313$1.49
10-03 00:12Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 154k?BUY0.0912097279$48.76
10-03 00:10Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 148k?BUY0.1672433333$20.07
10-03 00:07Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?BUY0.0768332$46.10
10-02 23:57Will Trump say "Micron" in October?BUY0.24$12.00
10-02 23:54Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17?BUY0.5$10.00
10-02 23:51Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17?BUY0.5$10.00
09-04 06:28Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999521$3.65