weirdly
0x1803ba68d60b7c54e6c0f94e4272c3fab4c209a9
- Realised P&L
- $-120.81
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $35.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Micron" in October? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.390 | $19.50 | +$7.50 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.805 | $16.10 | +$6.10 |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.010 | $0.20 | −$9.80 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-20.11at 0.174Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 148k?
- +$-47.40at 0.080Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?
- +$-49.56at 0.095Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 154k?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:22 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 148k? | SELL | 0.0069854167 | $0.84 |
| 10-03 00:22 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k? | SELL | 0.00145595 | $0.87 |
| 10-03 00:22 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 154k? | SELL | 0.0027957313 | $1.49 |
| 10-03 00:12 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 154k? | BUY | 0.0912097279 | $48.76 |
| 10-03 00:10 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 148k? | BUY | 0.1672433333 | $20.07 |
| 10-03 00:07 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k? | BUY | 0.0768332 | $46.10 |
| 10-02 23:57 | Will Trump say "Micron" in October? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 10-02 23:54 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 23:51 | Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 06:28 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999521 | $3.65 |