0x1802ed17d17342abf2ba9ca2a5df9f6b99e8cb14
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $105.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.035 | $37.33 | +$24.33 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.133 | $30.15 | +$1.13 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · No | 0.114 | 0.065 | $21.17 | −$15.83 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $16.50 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.97at 0.052Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:53 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 16:35 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.0895560867 | $103.97 |
| 11-01 16:27 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0065758805 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 16:18 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.1808075679 | $65.94 |
| 11-01 04:33 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1645224732 | $60.00 |
| 11-01 04:27 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0504987247 | $33.00 |
| 10-31 18:09 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.1598171547 | $53.33 |
| 10-31 05:02 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1198782487 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 04:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.1136203695 | $37.00 |
| 10-31 04:34 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0167997894 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 04:32 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.1150842925 | $51.99 |
| 10-31 04:29 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0996086879 | $45.00 |
| 10-31 04:28 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0532029993 | $27.00 |