0x17fd05fb164bce57ff77cb791e223403c17509bb
0x17fd05fb164bce57ff77cb791e223403c17509bb
- Realised P&L
- $25.11
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $3.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.585 | $3.85 | +$0.03 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.19at 0.168Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic
- +$13.34at 0.179UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$7.48at 0.558UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$6.06at 0.527UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$5.61at 0.426UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:34 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5799999909 | $3.82 |
| 09-24 14:30 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3899999789 | $3.70 |
| 09-20 04:05 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 09-20 03:55 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7916587456 | $10.29 |
| 09-20 03:51 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.67 | $10.79 |
| 09-20 01:15 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.589999977 | $9.51 |
| 09-20 01:14 | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.73 | $10.05 |
| 09-20 00:46 | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7199999884 | $9.92 |
| 09-14 08:05 | Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999808 | $6.26 |
| 09-12 23:22 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | SELL | 0.28 | $6.68 |
| 09-12 23:18 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $6.92 |
| 09-12 22:57 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.65 | $7.46 |
| 09-12 22:30 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6099999913 | $7.00 |
| 09-12 22:19 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.29 | $2.16 |
| 09-12 21:41 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.28 | $5.37 |