giltang
0x17ecba6bbb9676de811ac8b5adfc50636c3d19d8
- Realised P&L
- $-5.84
- Volume
- $130.00
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.959 | 0.981 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.999 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.010 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.025 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-07? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-08? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.61at 0.620Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?
- +$0.18at 0.850US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:52 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 19:36 | Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 19:33 | Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 23:33 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:28 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:27 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-08? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:26 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:25 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-08? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:24 | Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:17 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9589999722 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:14 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 11:11 | Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |