hermeswinwin
0x17eac4a5e876c4bf05eb7431325eb42d8be7e98f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $171.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,271
- Open portfolio
- $43.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,271
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.87at 0.759Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$79.07at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?
- +$67.35at 0.268Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$48.74at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19?
- +$42.45at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.35 |
| 10-01 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.35 |
| 10-01 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 06:19 | Solana Up or Down - October 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $55.44 |
| 10-01 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.31 |
| 10-01 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $300.96 |
| 10-01 05:44 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 10-01 05:24 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $34.49 |
| 10-01 05:14 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $44.55 |
| 10-01 05:09 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.74 |