PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smoltrader

0x17e5540bc696fd3e8b7da9101a93e4835c783d19

Realised P&L
$72.6k
Volume
$37.28M
Markets traded
5,686
Open portfolio
$377.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,686
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$81.41−$560.45
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$81.41−$560.45
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.004$37.96+$1.22
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$28.76−$221.74
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$28.76−$221.74
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$28.76−$221.74
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$28.76−$221.74
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$28.76−$221.74
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$28.76−$221.74
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$3.82−$26.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 20:23Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$70.54
10-24 20:22Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$162.83
10-24 20:21Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$162.83
10-24 20:21Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$2.26
10-24 20:21Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.011$1.20
10-24 20:21Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$0.22
10-24 20:20Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$275.85
10-24 20:19Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$345.12
08-23 11:55Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$9.38
08-23 11:54Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$10.94
08-23 11:54Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$70.54
08-23 11:54Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$70.54
08-23 11:53Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$70.54
08-23 11:53Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$70.54
08-23 11:53Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.002$141.09