roaringsensei
0x17e000a0939c50fa2f252641bf0cd0dabd03f080
- Realised P&L
- $-3.45
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $55.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.465 | $31.73 | +$3.75 |
| Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.391 | 0.385 | $23.80 | −$0.38 |
| Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.23 | −$22.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.35at 0.259Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15?
- +$49.20at 0.341Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?
- +$38.73at 0.259Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-10-16?
- +$29.04at 0.310Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?
- +$14.61at 0.331Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 13:36 | Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.05 | $22.89 |
| 10-16 13:33 | Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3911039224 | $24.18 |
| 10-16 13:32 | Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.4099999966 | $27.98 |
| 10-16 12:23 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.53 | $79.50 |
| 10-16 11:05 | Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.50 |
| 10-16 10:06 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.3599999957 | $23.21 |
| 10-16 08:41 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | SELL | 0.5413559322 | $39.92 |
| 10-16 07:15 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $23.60 |
| 10-16 02:25 | Will Sydney FC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.4299999997 | $49.24 |
| 10-15 22:47 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.209999999 | $19.23 |
| 10-15 22:44 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $95.02 |
| 10-15 18:19 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3499999964 | $24.11 |
| 10-15 18:18 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.25 | $23.78 |
| 10-15 11:22 | Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 10:55 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.2599999967 | $19.00 |