Pellepele
0x17dbae6fecba1c02bd673887b3cd94b75529c1e8
- Realised P&L
- $61.91
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 25? · No | 0.945 | 0.985 | $806.87 | +$32.26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? · No | 0.931 | 0.973 | $306.46 | +$13.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? · No | 0.789 | 0.690 | $262.18 | −$37.82 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No | 0.872 | 0.884 | $42.61 | +$0.56 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 25? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.575 | $41.07 | −$8.93 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · No | 0.953 | 0.950 | $19.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.950 | 0.996 | $10.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 24? · Yes | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10AM ET · Up | 0.847 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 10AM ET · Up | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.67at 0.758Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 24?
- +$28.81at 0.904Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 24?
- +$23.19at 0.965Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?
- +$22.24at 0.537Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$17.03at 0.577Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8739999692 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 13:13 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.852 | $0.26 |
| 09-25 13:12 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.109 | $0.40 |
| 09-25 13:12 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.137 | $0.69 |
| 09-25 13:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-25 13:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.871 | $22.05 |
| 09-25 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.941 | $26.85 |
| 09-25 13:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9480519468 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 13:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.952999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 12:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 12:49 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 25? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.45 |
| 09-25 12:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 12:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7988017973 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 12:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 12:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $100.00 |